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Horse Racing Systems
Article # 3
Horse Racing Systems That
Do Not Work
Whenever
you place a bet you are in effect, taking a chance and whichever kind of
horse racing system you use there is always a chance that you'll win, but
also the possibility that you'll lose.
Apologies if this seems like I'm stating an obvious point here, but there
is a purpose to that opening paragraph that will be elaborated upon and
explained, so I urge you to keep reading.
Professional gamblers, people who make their living through risk and
judgement, will all tell you that its about knowing something that others
do not, and that without that information you are simply relying on pure
luck. So lets look into this in more detail shall we?
Why Punters Fail
Before I look at how to succeed at this game, lets evaluate why people do
not succeed when using whichever horse racing system they use.
Anytime you are betting on horse racing, you should be evaluating the
three most important aspects that influence a race, and these are: The
prices/odds, which relate to the value the horse will give you. Statistics
are very important, so the horse's previous form, it's recent training
performances and the jockey that is on board can have a profound affect on
a race. And finally, the intangible influences, things such as which
course the race is held at, what the going is and what the level of
competition is.
if you're even remotely interested in betting on horses, the odds of a
horse should speak for themselves and should need very little explanation.
I'm afraid to say however, that so many punters get this part of the
equation so very wrong. Most people want to get the big win straight off
the bat, and think that a popular horse racing system, such as backing
purely favourites will work for them. Wrong.
Favourites win less than thirty percent of their races, and so not only
are you limited by the numbers of winners you will achieve (which is not
THAT important), the point is that you're backing horses that by their
very definition won't have much value. This means that in terms of making
a profit, you've got a mountain to climb and the vast majority of punters
using this racing system fail I'm afraid.
The next horse racing system that is often used by punters is to go right
to the other end of the spectrum, and just back outsiders. Of course, this
system will be just as ineffective as the racing system mentioned above
(backing just favourites). If you're backing outsiders, it does mean that
at least there is some value there, but this is often for a reason - the
horse has no chance of winning.
To summarise in simple terms, what I'm saying is that just basing your
horse racing system on the horses price alone is not wise as there are so
many other factors to take into account.
What Should You Be Doing?
So to begin with I spoke about professional gamblers and how they increase
their chances of winning, so how do they achieve this?
Its all about knowledge. So any successful horse racing system, betting or
staking plan, call it what you will, should be taking into account the
factors that have already been mentioned, all of which can affect the
outcome of a race or your success, so the odds, the statistics and the
intangible influences.
Sure its impossible to get it right every time, horses are not machines.
But by using the information that is available you are going to
drastically increase your chances of winning and making a profit, as
you're targeting value horses that should win and not even money
favourites.
Article Author:
Cliff Thurston
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